TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players from both teams achieve a rushing play longer than a set threshold during their football game. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on their longest single rush. The outcome depends on whether they reach or exceed their respective yardage benchmarks.
The event determines if designated players from each team record a longest rush exceeding specified yardage thresholds in the New York J vs New England Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete records a rush longer than the stated threshold, that market resolves to Yes. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the longest rush actually recorded during the game. These rules apply separately to each player’s market, with independent resolution criteria for Drake Maye and Rhamondre Stevenson.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating a broader range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, the continuous trading in this market can lead to odds that are highly predictive, potentially outperforming traditional sources. It's important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt during the New York J versus New England game will be declared the winner. Official game statistics will be used to determine the longest rush, and the results will be verified against credible public sources. The resolution will reflect the official statistics as recorded by the league and reported by reliable sports news outlets, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor a passing or running game, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or play-calling tendencies might also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from respected sports commentators could sway opinions and affect trading volume, leading to price adjustments in this market.