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2,984,028,936

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$1,902,097,102

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New York J vs New England: Passing Touchdowns (Protected)
kalshi

What is the result of New York J vs New England?

Volume:
$2,136

Drake Maye: 3+

 - Kalshi

Drake Maye: 3+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 4:35 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Drake Maye: 3+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$618
N/A
N/A
$618
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Drake Maye: 1+

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$580
N/A
N/A
$580
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Geno Smith: 1+

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$579
N/A
N/A
$579
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Drake Maye: 2+

100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
$317
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Drake Maye: 4+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Drake Maye: 5+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith: 2+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith: 3+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith: 4+

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

Drake Maye’s passing touchdowns will be closely watched in the same New York J versus New England game. Multiple contracts hinge on whether he throws a certain number of touchdown passes, with varying thresholds that affect the resolution.

Kalshi

Similar to the previous event, these contracts are protected. If Maye participates in at least one play during the first half but none after, including overtime, the contract resolves to the fair price prior to kickoff unless he records the required passing touchdowns, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event uses full game passing touchdowns including overtime.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing touchdowns market tracks the current prices for various outcomes, displaying the implied probabilities of different numbers of passing touchdowns being scored in the game between New York J and New England. It also provides a price history chart, allowing users to see how the market has moved over time. Additionally, the dashboard shows the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $2,086, and the total volume traded to date, which is $2,136. This information helps traders analyze market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and offer a convenient comparison point for evaluating the potential value in this market. It’s common to see discrepancies due to differing opinions and risk assessments.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the number of passing touchdowns. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event draws nearer, offering a real-time assessment of potential outcomes.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing touchdowns scored in the New York J versus New England game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the settlement of their positions in this market.

Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift the market. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or play-calling tendencies, as revealed through press conferences or reports, could influence trader sentiment. Finally, even public perception and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks could indirectly affect trading activity in this market.