TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specific participants achieve designated fantasy point thresholds using a standardized scoring system.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or team defense units during the full game (including overtime) between New York J and New England, as recorded by Sleeper using their default full-PPR scoring system. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the designated participant exceeds their respective fantasy point threshold. Players not participating or未被Sleeper分配幻想积分值将被视为得分0分。Sleeper在到期日发布的幻想积分总和将被使用,没有额外四舍五入,且到期后对结果的更正不计入。所有市场均使用相同的详细积分格式,包括传球、冲刺、接球、踢球以及防守和特殊队伍的得分规则。得分计算涵盖传球码、触地得分、接球、踢球得分、防守得分以及特殊队伍表现,并明确说明了各项行动的具体积分值。
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the opinions of many informed traders. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, while this market may have less visibility. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially as game day approaches and more data becomes available. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism, meaning traders like you set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The price of a contract representing a specific outcome reflects the market’s collective belief about its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential outcome for the New York/New England fantasy football matchup. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a share in a particular result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy football point totals for the New York and New England teams are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100 based on which team accumulates more fantasy points according to standard scoring rules. The resolution process relies on publicly available and widely accepted data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the official results.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team lineups for either the New York or New England teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected developments in player performance during upcoming games, or even changes in weather forecasts impacting game conditions, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, analysis from fantasy football experts and prominent sports commentators could sway trader opinions and impact volume. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.