TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on individual player performance in an upcoming football game between New York and New England. Participants bet on whether specific players will achieve certain fantasy point totals during the match, with payouts scaling based on actual points scored.
Each market operates as a scalar contract where Yes payouts are determined by multiplying the player's Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy points by $0.01, rounding to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capping the payout between $0.00 and $1.00. The No payout is calculated as $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If a player does not receive a fantasy-point figure from Sleeper for the specified week, they are considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder's contract position, meaning larger positions receive correspondingly larger payouts based on the same rate. All markets are independent, with each player's performance evaluated separately to determine the resolution of their respective contracts.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a large number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a given outcome. It's common to see this market provide a more accurate forecast than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders enter the market, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available contracts at different price points, giving traders insight into the potential for price movement and the overall liquidity of the market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy football scores for both New York and New England will be used to determine the winner of this market. The resolution will reflect which team ultimately achieves a higher fantasy point total based on official league statistics. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the completion of the game and verification of the results.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team lineups for either New York or New England would likely have a significant impact. Updates on player performance during the week leading up to the game, or even weather forecasts that could affect the game, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or changes in player roles could also drive trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.