TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:53 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional football game between two teams, focusing on their performance throughout the match. It specifically tracks whether both teams manage to score points in each quarter of the game during regulation time. The emphasis is on consistent scoring by both participants across all quarters of the contest.
If New York J and New England both score points in every quarter of regulation of the New York J vs New England Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of both teams scoring in every quarter. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, late-breaking news, or simply variations in how information is interpreted. It's common to see prediction markets offer a more nuanced view, especially as the event draws closer and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of the outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of potential event outcomes. This allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of both teams scoring in every quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by whether both the New York J and New England teams score in each of the four quarters of the game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual game results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the New York J or New England teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team formations might also cause shifts in trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public discussion or analysis predicting a high-scoring or low-scoring game could influence the collective assessment reflected in the market price.