TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points specifically in the fourth quarter of an upcoming football game between New York J and New England. It tracks performance during the final quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods, to decide the outcome.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the fourth quarter of the designated football game, excluding overtime. If New England scores the highest points in that quarter, the New England market resolves to Yes. If New York J scores the highest points, its market resolves to Yes. Should both teams score an equal number of points in the fourth quarter, neither team market resolves to Yes, and instead the Tie market resolves to Yes. All outcomes consider only points scored during regular fourth-quarter play, with overtime points disregarded entirely.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 4th quarter winner of the New York vs New England game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The market depth and volume provide insights into the strength of conviction behind different predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 4th quarter will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to view the final outcome and the resulting payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official verification of the results.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New York or New England teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team performance during the preceding games, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even significant shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis, can all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.