TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
New York J vs New England: 4th Quarter Winner
kalshi

What is the result of New York J vs New England?

Volume:
$8,631

New England

 - Kalshi

New England - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 4:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New England

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,162
N/A
N/A
$1,940
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York J

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,550
N/A
N/A
$5,299
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$920
N/A
N/A
$920
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points specifically in the fourth quarter of an upcoming football game between New York J and New England. It tracks performance during the final quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods, to decide the outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the fourth quarter of the designated football game, excluding overtime. If New England scores the highest points in that quarter, the New England market resolves to Yes. If New York J scores the highest points, its market resolves to Yes. Should both teams score an equal number of points in the fourth quarter, neither team market resolves to Yes, and instead the Tie market resolves to Yes. All outcomes consider only points scored during regular fourth-quarter play, with overtime points disregarded entirely.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes prove more accurate than traditional odds in forecasting outcomes. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the 4th quarter winner of the New York vs New England game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The market depth and volume provide insights into the strength of conviction behind different predictions.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 4th quarter will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to view the final outcome and the resulting payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official verification of the results.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New York or New England teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team performance during the preceding games, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even significant shifts in public opinion based on expert analysis, can all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.