TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total points scored by both teams in the final quarter of a football game, helping to gauge the game's intensity and momentum in its closing stages. The outcome depends solely on the combined score achieved in that specific period, excluding any overtime play.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by New York J and New England in the 4th Quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, with each market having a different threshold for resolution. If the total points exceed the specified threshold—ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points—the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during regulation 4th Quarter play are counted, with overtime points explicitly excluded from consideration for all markets. The markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome based on the same underlying game data.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. If a large number of people believe a certain outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will adjust accordingly, potentially offering value compared to traditional betting options. Keep in mind that market prices can change rapidly based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter of the New York J versus New England game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official game statistics from a recognized sports data provider will serve as the source for this information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct points range will receive a payout of $1 per contract, while others will receive $0.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either team would likely cause significant movement, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions that could affect scoring. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly shift prices. Even general public perception, as reflected in social media or sports news, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.