TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in a specific quarter of an upcoming football game between New York J and New England. It tracks performance during a defined segment of play, highlighting tactical momentum rather than overall game outcome.
The market determines the winner of the second quarter in the New York J versus New England Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific outcome: New England winning the quarter, New York J winning the quarter, or a tie where both teams score equally. Points counted exclusively reflect those scored during the second quarter alone. If both teams finish the quarter with identical scores, all team-specific outcomes resolve to No, and the Tie outcome resolves to Yes. The resolution depends solely on which team achieves the higher point total in that quarter, with tied scores explicitly directing to the Tie market.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of each team winning the second quarter. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or analytical approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Observing these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer we get to the game, the more volatile the prices may become as new information and sentiment influence trading activity. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the likelihood of each team winning the second quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second quarter of the New York J vs New England game will be declared the winner of this market. Resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the results are verified. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. News regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy for either the New York J or New England could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to price movements. Even late-breaking news about team morale or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their positions, impacting the odds for this market until it resolves.