TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams during a specific quarter of a football game. Bettors assess offensive performance and defensive strategies to gauge scoring potential within a confined timeframe.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by New York J and New England in the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market features a different threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter strictly surpass the threshold defined in the respective market. Only points scored during the second quarter count; any points from other quarters are irrelevant. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing league’s official scoring and game timing definitions apply, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league. Trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities of an event happening.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose money if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a market-driven assessment of the likely outcome of the New York vs New England game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 2nd Quarter Total score is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the league. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy for either the New York or New England teams would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also impact expectations. Furthermore, public sentiment and large-volume trades from informed individuals can all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.