TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of the New York Jets and Chicago Bears defensive units in their upcoming game, focusing specifically on how many times each team successfully sacks the opposing quarterback. The outcomes depend on meeting or exceeding various sack thresholds set for each team.
All markets resolve based on the official number of sacks recorded by each team during the New York Jets vs Chicago Bears Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all calculations. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional sportsbooks, as the continuous trading reflects collective insights. However, sportsbook odds are still a useful benchmark for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of sacks. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the expected sack total. The market operates similarly to a stock exchange, with traders aiming to profit from correctly predicting the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded in the New York J vs Chicago game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the source of truth. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result. It’s important to monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand how the outcome is unfolding.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key offensive linemen or defensive players on either team would be significant catalysts. Any news regarding weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse, could also impact the expected number of sacks. Changes in quarterback play, such as a starter being benched or a significant performance shift, could also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news about team strategies or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in trader expectations.