TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many field goals each team scores. The outcome depends on whether the teams reach certain thresholds of successful field goal attempts during the match.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the number of field goals scored by each team in the New York J vs Chicago Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of field goals for either Chicago or New York J, resolving to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds that threshold. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of any official league affiliation, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief of the group. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising prices and increased selling pressure lowering them. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of field goals scored in the New York vs Chicago game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been verified. The market will then be settled, and winning contracts will be paid out.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New York or Chicago teams would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor kicking or hinder it, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or significant shifts in team performance during other games could also move the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and influence price direction as traders react to perceived new information or shifts in sentiment.