TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves tracking the performance of a specific player during an upcoming football game between two teams. It focuses on measuring the player's yardage achieved through rushing plays. The outcome is determined by the actual statistics recorded during the game.
If Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by D'Andre Swift during the New York J vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s prices are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders who identify mispricings between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage levels. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals for the game between New York J and Chicago are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions and the final outcome. It’s important to monitor official sources as the game concludes to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key players on either team, particularly running backs and offensive linemen, would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or snow, could also impact rushing yardage totals. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or game plans will likely cause price fluctuations as traders adjust their expectations.