TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game, offering multiple thresholds for each player to examine their performance levels and consistency in catching passes.
Each market focuses on a specific player and a defined reception threshold. If the named player records the specified number of receptions or more in the designated game, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. A player is considered to have taken a snap if they are on the field for any play, regardless of whether the snap is nullified by penalty. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each player's reception performance against their respective thresholds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. A higher price indicates a greater perceived probability, while a lower price suggests a lower probability. The market depth, visible on the dashboard, shows the available contracts at different price points, giving an indication of the demand and supply for each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the players in the New York vs Chicago game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The outcome will be based on official statistics released after the game concludes, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final results on Kalshi once they are officially available and the market is settled.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could all impact expectations for reception totals. Significant performance in prior games, or adjustments to the opposing team’s defensive schemes, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even pre-game reports on player matchups, could lead to substantial changes in volume and pricing. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities before Oct 4, 2026.