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New York J vs Chicago: Passing Completions
kalshi

What is the result of New York J vs Chicago?

Volume:
$1,644

Tyson Bagent: 15+

 - Kalshi

Tyson Bagent: 15+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 2:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tyson Bagent: 15+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$502
N/A
N/A
$445
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tyson Bagent: 20+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
$481
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tyson Bagent: 25+

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
$285
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Geno Smith: 22+

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$355
N/A
N/A
$278
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith: 17+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith: 27+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with receivers. The outcome depends on whether each player meets or exceeds predetermined completion thresholds during the match. These benchmarks allow participants to assess and wager on the players' accuracy and effectiveness under game conditions.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether designated quarterbacks, Tyson Bagent and Geno Smith, achieve specified passing completion thresholds in the New York J vs Chicago Professional Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Three separate markets exist for each quarterback, each with increasing completion benchmarks (15+, 20+, and 25+ for Bagent; 17+, 22+, and 27+ for Smith). A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the respective player records the exact or greater number of completions in their defined threshold during the game. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome is determined solely by the actual completions recorded during the game. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the diverse perspectives of traders. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions as traders buy and sell contracts. It's common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can create opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different passing completion totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the game gets, the more responsive the prices will be to breaking news and late-developing information, such as injury reports or weather conditions. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of probabilities.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing completions achieved during the game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the settlement of their contracts.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury news regarding key quarterbacks or wide receivers is a primary driver, as it directly affects a team’s passing ability. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence passing strategies and completion rates. Game-day decisions regarding play-calling or defensive schemes could also shift the probabilities. Finally, any significant news or analysis regarding team matchups or player performance could lead to increased trading activity and price movements in this market.