TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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New York J vs Chicago: Passing Attempts
kalshi

What is the result of New York J vs Chicago?

Volume:
$8,380

Tyson Bagent: 30+

 - Kalshi

Tyson Bagent: 30+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 3:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tyson Bagent: 30+

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,871
N/A
N/A
$3,600
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tyson Bagent: 25+

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$324
N/A
N/A
$323
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Geno Smith: 34+

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,460
N/A
N/A
$945
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyson Bagent: 35+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$559
N/A
N/A
$383
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith: 29+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
No
kalshi

Geno Smith: 39+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks quarterback performance metrics in an upcoming football match, focusing on how many times specific players attempt to throw the ball. It allows participants to speculate on whether players will meet certain thresholds of offensive activity during the game.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the total number of passing attempts recorded by the named quarterback during the New York J vs Chicago Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual passing attempts recorded during the game. Each market has a distinct threshold: Tyson Bagent markets resolve to Yes if he records 25+, 30+, or 35+ attempts, while Geno Smith markets resolve to Yes if he records 29+, 34+, or 39+ attempts. Thresholds represent minimum required passing attempts for a 'Yes' outcome. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing attempts market tracks the current prices for various outcomes related to the total passing attempts in the game between New York J and Chicago. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $2,563. The total volume traded on this market is $8,380. This allows traders to see how much activity there is and understand market sentiment around different potential passing attempt totals.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that market participants have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and developments that impact the perceived likelihood of different outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential passing attempt totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, making it a real-time assessment of the event’s probability.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt total for the New York J versus Chicago game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official game statistics released by the NFL. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final settlement price and receive their payouts accordingly.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions that favor running or passing plays, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or offensive schemes could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could influence trader sentiment and cause price fluctuations.