TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:56 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of individual players in an upcoming football game between New York and Chicago, with payouts tied directly to their fantasy points scored using a specific scoring system. Each player's scoring contributes to the financial return for participants based on predefined calculations.
Each market resolves based on the Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy-point total accumulated by the specified player during the New York Jets vs. Chicago Bears game scheduled for October 4, 2026, as reported by Sleeper. The Yes payout per contract equals $0.01 multiplied by the player's weekly fantasy points, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No payout is calculated as $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If Sleeper does not assign a fantasy-point total for the player that week, the player is considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. All payouts are proportional to the holder's contract position. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific markets in this event.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it may signal an opportunity for value, depending on your own analysis of the New York vs Chicago fantasy matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow determine the current price, providing a real-time assessment of collective belief. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and adjusts probabilities accordingly for the New York vs Chicago fantasy matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final standings of the fantasy matchup will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official fantasy scoring rules and statistics. It's important to note that the resolution process focuses on objective verification of the results, ensuring a transparent and reliable outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Unexpected player injuries or changes in team strategies could alter perceptions of each team’s potential performance in the fantasy matchup. News regarding player trades or significant roster changes would also likely impact the market. Furthermore, any updates on player health or projected playing time could cause shifts in the odds. Positive or negative media coverage surrounding either team could also influence trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.