TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the New York J Pro Football team will record at least one interception during their regular season games. On Kalshi, the probability of an interception occurring before Week 8 of the 2026-27 season stands at 50.0%, while the probability of one occurring before Week 10 stands at 50.0%. Resolution is determined by official NFL records and game statistics. Watch for the team's defensive performance through Week 8, as early-season interception rates will signal whether the defense is generating turnovers at the expected pace leading up to the January 17, 2027 resolution date.
Resolution depends on whether the New York Jets record an interception in a regular season game during the 2026-27 season, with outcomes tied to specific timeframes. Each outcome establishes a deadline: before Week 2, Week 4, Week 6, Week 8, Week 10, Week 12, Week 14, Week 16, or anytime during the full regular season. If the Jets record an interception on or before the specified deadline, that outcome resolves to Yes. If they do not record an interception by that deadline, it resolves to No. An interception recorded in an earlier timeframe satisfies all subsequent timeframe outcomes. Resolution uses official NFL statistics for regular season games only. The final determination is made at the conclusion of the regular season or when the specified deadline passes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether an interception will occur before Week 12 of the 2026-27 NFL season. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the ‘yes’ outcome. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of an interception. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their expectations.
This market resolves around Jan 17, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether any NFL team records an interception before the start of Week 12 of the 2026-27 season. Official NFL game logs and reports will be used to determine if an interception occurred within the specified timeframe. The outcome will be a simple ‘yes’ or ‘no’ based on the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injuries to key quarterbacks known for forcing throws into coverage could increase the likelihood of interceptions, driving up the price. Coaching changes that emphasize a more aggressive passing attack could also have a similar effect. Unexpected rule changes impacting defensive pass interference could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any news regarding a team’s defensive scheme or a player’s interception rate could cause significant price movement in this market.