TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds of total goals scored by both teams in an upcoming NHL game. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold, determining whether the combined score exceeds that number. The outcomes reflect predictions about the game's offensive intensity and scoring patterns.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams in the New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs NHL game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Goals counted include those scored during regulation time and any overtime periods. If the game concludes with a shootout, the shootout result contributes one goal to the winning team's total. For any market, if the combined goals exceed the specified threshold (e.g., Over 1.5, Over 2.5, etc.), it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments of the game's likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd believes there is value or mispricing relative to traditional bookmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential goal totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the New York vs Toronto match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the official match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Any overtime or penalty shootouts will be included in the final goal count. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either New York or Toronto would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or weather conditions could also impact expectations. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match team news can also drive price fluctuations. Even public sentiment and media coverage can play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.