TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:57 PM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 17:00 UTC: If the New York Giants win, the market will resolve to "New York Giants". If the Washington Commanders win, the market will resolve to "Washington Commanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 17:00 UTC: If the New York Giants win, the market will resolve to "New York Giants". If the Washington Commanders win, the market will resolve to "Washington Commanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced a team's chances, the resulting trading pressure in this market will shift the odds accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially as event time approaches, as they aggregate a wider range of information and perspectives.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants. Currently, the most active contracts relate to which team will win the game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the New York Giants versus Washington Commanders game, as reported by official sports sources. The market will then settle to 100% for the winning team, and 0% for the losing team. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected announcements about team performance or player availability will likely trigger increased trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media, can also influence the market, though to a lesser extent. Major upsets in other games involving these teams could also affect perceptions and move the market, as could any late-breaking news related to team morale or preparation.