TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a football game between New York G and Washington, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. It covers various possible score differences that determine the result, reflecting how decisively one team might win or if the game ends in a tie.
The event determines the outcome of the New York G versus Washington football game scheduled for October 11, 2026, based on the point differential between the two teams at the end of the full game, including any overtime periods. If Washington wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), or by between 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the respective markets resolve accordingly. Similarly, if New York G wins by between 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the corresponding markets resolve to Yes. Each rule specifies a range of point differentials that trigger a Yes outcome for that particular market, ensuring that all possible winning margins are covered. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible winning margins. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that margin occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders essentially bet on their assessment of the likely outcome, and their collective actions establish the market price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth indicates the level of confidence and trading activity surrounding each potential margin, providing insights into prevailing market sentiment. As more trades occur, the price converges toward a consensus expectation.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final winning margin between New York G and Washington will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual winning margin will receive a payout, while those with losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about coaching decisions or alterations to game plans could also influence trader sentiment. Public perception shifts, driven by media coverage or expert analysis, can also play a role. Furthermore, performance in preceding games and any emerging trends in team statistics could lead to adjustments in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities before Oct 11, 2026.