TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:41 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the offensive performance of each team in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether they achieve specific yardage thresholds. The outcomes depend entirely on the official statistics recorded during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards accumulated by either New York G or Washington in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) that, if met or exceeded by the respective team, results in a 'Yes' resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific yardage threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging towards probabilities that are more accurate than those initially offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows anyone to express their belief, leading to a potentially more informed price. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, while this market requires active participation to understand its implied probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different yardage totals. The price of a contract reflects the probability of the total team yards falling within the range it represents. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of various outcomes. The market depth, indicated by the bid-ask spread, shows how much volume is available at different price points, influencing how easily orders can be filled.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official total team yards for the New York G and Washington game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official statistics reported by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi following the completion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries to either team’s offense, changes in weather forecasts that could impact passing or running games, or even late-breaking reports about coaching strategies could all cause shifts in trader sentiment. Significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also influence the market, as traders may adjust their positions to align with broader market perceptions. Any unexpected developments leading up to kickoff have the potential to move this market.