TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:43 PM EST
Kalshi
The markets focus on predicting whether a specific NFL team will achieve a certain number of sacks in an upcoming game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of sacks for either team, allowing participants to speculate on various performance levels.
All markets resolve based on the official number of sacks recorded by either New York G or Washington during their Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, with specific thresholds defined for each market (e.g., 2+, 3+, up to 6+ sacks). Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all calculations. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's actual commencement.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a certain sack total is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public opinion shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total number of sacks. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices dynamically adjust to reflect the collective forecast. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various sack totals in the game, driven by the aggregated decisions of individuals.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded during the New York G versus Washington game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The specific payout amount for each contract will depend on the final sack total and the price at which the contract was purchased or sold. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key offensive linemen or pass rushers on either team would be significant, as they directly impact the potential for sacks. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or rain, could also affect passing plays and thus the sack count. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or team tactics will likely cause movement in this market as traders react to the new information.