TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Jayden Daniels in a specific football game between New York G and Washington. Contracts will pay out based on the number of rushing yards he accumulates during the match, with higher yardage leading to increased payouts.
If Each Yes contract pays per rushing yards by Jayden Daniels in the New York G vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each 10 rushing yards increase the payout by the following schedule: 0–9 yards, $0.0000; 10–19, $0.0001; 20–29, $0.0010; 30–39, $0.0033; 40–49, $0.0080; 50–59, $0.0156; 60–69, $0.0270; 70–79, $0.0428; 80–89, $0.0640; 90–99, $0.0911; 100–109, $0.1250; 110–119, $0.1663; 120–129, $0.2160; 130–139, $0.2746; 140–149, $0.3430; 150–159, $0.4218; 160–169, $0.5120; 170–179, $0.6141; 180–189, $0.7290; 190–199, $0.8573; and 200 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a certain result. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can persist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as assessed by the collective intelligence of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving expectations. The current market price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of potential rushing yardage.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official rushing yard totals for the New York G versus Washington game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL following the completion of the game. Any adjustments or corrections made by the NFL to the official statistics will be reflected in the final resolution of this market. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi after the event concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the projected weather conditions for the game. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about player availability or performance expectations could lead to substantial shifts in the market price as traders react to the new information. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone actively trading in this market.