TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual player performance in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain players achieve particular rushing yard thresholds. Each market evaluates a different player's ability to meet or exceed set yardage benchmarks during the match.
All markets refer to the New York G vs Washington professional football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records the stated rushing yard threshold (e.g., 25+, 30+, etc.) in that game. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the total rushing yards they record during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each player's performance relative to their respective thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own analysis and beliefs. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information emerges. Polls and analysts’ predictions often align more closely with sportsbook lines, but this market offers a unique perspective based on actual money at stake.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals for the game. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The more traders participate, the more efficient the price discovery process becomes, leading to a market price that is often considered a highly accurate forecast. This dynamic pricing mechanism distinguishes it from fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the New York G vs Washington game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL. The market will determine which contract’s predicted rushing yard total is closest to the actual result, and those holding the winning contract will receive a payout. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game statistics to understand the resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key players on both teams, particularly running backs and offensive linemen, will be closely watched. Changes in weather forecasts, such as the prediction of rain or snow, could affect the game plan and rushing yard totals. News regarding coaching strategies or adjustments to the offensive line could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or player availability will likely impact trading activity and the overall price of contracts in this market.