TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often Jayden Daniels, the quarterback for Washington, runs with the ball during the game against New York G. The outcome depends on whether he exceeds specific thresholds of rushing attempts. The markets settle based on his actual performance once he takes the field.
The markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts Jayden Daniels records during the New York G vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each market has a different threshold: 4+, 7+, and 10+ rushing attempts. If Daniels meets or exceeds the threshold in his respective market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If Daniels is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once Daniels takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all three markets, with Kalshi explicitly stating it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact expectations for the game. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into where the crowd and professional oddsmakers diverge in their assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final rushing attempts and trading contracts accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official rushing attempts total for the game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by the NFL, will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual rushing attempts total will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at resolution. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key running backs or offensive linemen on either team would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could impact the expected running game strategy. News regarding coaching decisions or shifts in offensive play-calling could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or team tactics leading up to the game could cause price fluctuations.