TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game, focusing on how many times they successfully receive the ball during the match. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' in-game activity and statistical achievements.
All markets resolve based on the number of receptions recorded by specified players during the New York Giants vs Washington football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For each market, if the named player achieves the stated minimum number of receptions (ranging from 2 to 7 receptions for Malachi Fields and 2 to 5 receptions for Darnell Mooney), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if a player is listed as active for the game but does not take a single snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether that play is later nullified by a penalty—the market outcome is determined solely by the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. These rules ensure that markets reflect actual in-game performance while accounting for pre-game uncertainty regarding player participation.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own research and insights. If there's disagreement between the two, it often indicates uncertainty or a strong conviction among prediction market participants. It's common to see this market incorporate information and perspectives not immediately reflected in sportsbook lines, potentially offering a different view on the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of receptions. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its forecast accordingly, making it a responsive indicator of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of receptions achieved by the players in the New York G vs Washington game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders will be able to see the final result and the payout of their contracts shortly after the game's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly wide receivers or the quarterback, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they predict adverse conditions that could affect passing games, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching strategies could further shift expectations and influence the price of contracts in this market.