TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether a specific quarterback achieves various passing yard thresholds in an upcoming football game. The outcome depends entirely on the player's performance during the match, reflecting fans' and analysts' predictions about his potential production.
All markets resolve based on whether Jameis Winston records the specified passing yard threshold in the New York Giants vs Washington football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If Winston is active for the game but does not take any snaps, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Winston takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the markets resolve strictly according to the actual passing yards he records during the game. Each market has a distinct yardage threshold (ranging from 125 to 325+ yards), with the market resolving to 'Yes' only if Winston meets or exceeds that specific threshold. The markets are independent; meeting one threshold does not automatically satisfy higher thresholds. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial line setting. Sportsbooks may also adjust their odds more slowly in response to new information than this market. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – leading up to the game. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final passing yards total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, creating a dynamic price discovery process. The more traders believe a specific yardage range is likely, the higher the price of contracts representing that range will climb. This creates a market-driven forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing yards total is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics from the game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the final result. The market will then settle based on which yardage range the actual total falls into, rewarding traders who correctly predicted the outcome. It’s important to monitor the game and official statistics as they become available to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health – injuries, illness, or even changes in playing time – would be a major catalyst. Weather conditions, particularly wind or rain, could affect passing strategies and yardage totals. Unexpected changes in coaching decisions or defensive schemes could also shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking news about key receivers or offensive linemen could influence how traders assess the likely passing yardage for this game.