TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing interceptions by quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between New York G and Washington. It focuses on specific thresholds of interceptions for each quarterback, providing a way to evaluate defensive performance against each signal-caller.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing interceptions recorded by specified quarterbacks during the New York G vs Washington Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. For any quarterback listed, if they are active but do not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of passing interceptions they record during the game. Each market has a distinct threshold (e.g., 1+, 2+, or 3+ interceptions) that must be met or exceeded for a 'Yes' outcome. These rules ensure clarity in resolution, accounting for player participation and in-game events, while emphasizing that Kalshi is not officially connected with the governing league.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. While there can be alignment, differences frequently emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to impactful news than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the number of passing interceptions. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain number of interceptions, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and generate a forecast that reflects the collective intelligence of its participants. The current price indicates what the crowd believes is most likely.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown in the New York G versus Washington game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual number of interceptions will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health or playing status – for either New York G or Washington – would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse for passing, could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about defensive strategies or key player matchups could also move the market. Finally, general public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could influence trader behavior and lead to price fluctuations before Oct 11, 2026.