TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks quarterback performance in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with receivers. The outcome depends on whether each player meets or exceeds predetermined completion thresholds during the match. Markets adjust dynamically based on player participation and in-game actions.
All markets resolve based on the total passing completions recorded by specified quarterbacks during the New York Giants vs Washington game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For any quarterback listed, if they are active for the team but do not take a single snap, the market settles at its fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is later nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of completions they achieve during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets tied to passing completion thresholds for both Jayden Daniels and Jameis Winston, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of which player is evaluated or the specific completion target set for each market.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that these are distinct markets with different participants and motivations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different numbers of passing completions. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific number of completions, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing completions in the New York G vs Washington game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence traders' expectations and move the market. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role, although the market ultimately reflects the actions of traders on Kalshi.