TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks quarterback performance metrics in an upcoming football game between New York G and Washington. It focuses on whether specific players meet defined thresholds for passing attempts during the contest, reflecting betting interest in offensive strategies and player utilization.
All markets resolve based on the total passing attempts recorded by named quarterbacks during the New York G vs Washington Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. For any quarterback, if they are active but never take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is later nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing attempts they record during the game. All markets are independent and evaluate different attempt thresholds for each named quarterback, with resolution contingent solely on achieving the specified numerical benchmarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it can present an arbitrage opportunity for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the game. Polls and expert analyses often predict a range of passing attempts, but this market provides a continuously updated, financially incentivized forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing attempt totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a higher passing attempt total, the price of those contracts will increase, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the game approaches and more data becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official passing attempt total is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by the NFL, will be the determining factor. The resolution will reflect the total combined passing attempts by both teams in the New York G versus Washington game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual passing attempt total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts predicting a different total will not.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding key player injuries – particularly quarterbacks or wide receivers – would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as the prediction of heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations about passing volume. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or play-calling tendencies could also move the market. Finally, any large-volume trades on Kalshi itself could indicate informed activity and cause price fluctuations as traders react to new information or insights.