TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event evaluates whether specific players and teams will exceed designated fantasy point thresholds in an upcoming football game. It uses a standardized scoring system to quantify performance across offensive, defensive, and special teams contributions.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or teams during the full game (including overtime) of the New York G vs Washington match scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive/special teams performances as detailed in the scoring format. If a player or team exceeds their respective threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Players who do not participate or are not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official Sleeper fantasy-point total at expiration is used for resolution, with no post-expiration adjustments or rounding applied. All markets are independent, and each evaluates a unique participant against their specific threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on public perception, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges regarding player injuries or team strategies. However, both attempt to forecast the same underlying outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final fantasy point total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a particular result in the New York vs Washington matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for both teams in the New York vs Washington game will be used to determine the result. The resolution will be based on official fantasy scoring rules, as defined by major fantasy sports providers. Traders will be able to view the final results and confirm their positions once the resolution is complete. The platform will automatically settle all outstanding contracts based on the verified outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team lineups for either the New York or Washington teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the game could also shift expectations. Furthermore, analysis from sports commentators and fantasy football experts could sway market sentiment. Major shifts in public perception, as reflected in social media or betting trends, could also contribute to movement in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. Any developments affecting the perceived strength of either team will be closely watched by traders.