TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of outcomes from both the first half and the full game of a football match between New York G and Washington. A successful outcome requires that both the first half and the full game results match the specified conditions for resolution.
The markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the New York G vs Washington Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. For a market to resolve as Yes, both the first half result and the full game result must match the specified conditions outlined in each individual market rule. If either the first half or full game result does not align with the required outcome, the market resolves to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of the original schedule time, the market remains open to resolve based on the official final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. All markets are independent and require exact matching of both halves' outcomes to settle as Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the wisdom of the crowd. As a result, discrepancies can emerge, particularly when there is strong public sentiment or inside information not yet reflected in traditional odds. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new data, as traders are directly incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on popular outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a fair value based on available information. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform’s design encourages efficient price discovery, as traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks in response to new developments and the actions of other participants. This dynamic process creates a real-time assessment of the likely result of the New York G vs Washington match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New York G vs Washington match, specifically the result of the 1st Half / Fulltime. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their positions in the market.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift expectations. Major tactical adjustments announced by either team, or significant performance trends observed in recent games, could also influence trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role, particularly if it suggests a shift in perceived probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of either team’s chances of winning will likely move the market.