TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.8b
24H VOL:
$102,639,054
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,660,434,525
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,604,186,899
483,972
Markets across
36,666
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,879
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Kyren Williams will score 2+ touchdowns in the New York G versus Los Angeles R professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 22.0% probability to Williams achieving this, while Blake Corum scoring 1+ touchdowns is priced at 19.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Tyler Higbee scores at least 2+ touchdowns in the game originally scheduled for September 21, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the final injury reports released before the game on September 21, 2026, as player availability could significantly impact scoring opportunities.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player scores the required number of touchdowns during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual touchdowns scored during the game. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria tied to the named player's performance. The markets cover various players from both teams, with thresholds of either 1+ or 2+ touchdowns. No affiliation or endorsement by the governing league is implied.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Observing these differences can be valuable for identifying potential value in either market, though it’s important to remember both represent probabilities of the same event happening.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing opinions, offering a real-time assessment of expectations for the number of touchdowns scored in the game.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of touchdowns scored in the New York G versus Los Angeles R game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market’s outcome and any potential payouts.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game's scoring potential. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also move the market. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements leading up to Sep 22, 2026.