TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on whether specific players or team defense units will score at least one touchdown during an upcoming football game between the New York Giants and the Houston Texans. Each market tracks individual performance or defensive scoring contributions over the full game duration, including any overtime periods.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half—including overtime—they will resolve to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff unless they record the required touchdowns. If a player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics, regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion. This event considers the full game, including overtime, and passing touchdowns do not count toward the required touchdowns scored by the passer. Team defense/special-teams selections settle on actual touchdowns, and the player participation exception does not apply to them.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the current market consensus. As more traders participate and place orders, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The higher the price of a contract, the more likely the market believes that outcome will occur. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing perspectives.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of touchdowns scored by each team during the official game. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining which team scored more touchdowns. It's important to note that any scoring adjustments or official rulings made after the game's conclusion will be taken into account to ensure an accurate resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the event might also impact perceptions of team strength. Furthermore, public announcements about team lineups or potential tactical adjustments could trigger movement in the market. Shifts in overall NFL betting trends or even large-volume trades on Kalshi could also contribute to price fluctuations.