TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. The outcomes depend solely on the total yards each team gains during the match, reflecting offensive efficiency and strategy.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either New York G or Houston in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) for each team, with a 'Yes' outcome if the specified team meets or exceeds its threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's actual commencement. The markets are independent of league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the most likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading. It's common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of probabilities as the event approaches. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in each potential result. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and reflect the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total yardage for each team will be determined by official NFL statistics following the completion of the game. These statistics will be sourced from official league data and will serve as the basis for determining which contracts pay out. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective, ensuring that the market accurately reflects the actual results of the game. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final yardage totals.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key players on either team are significant, as they directly impact offensive capabilities. Weather forecasts also play a role, particularly if conditions are expected to be unfavorable for passing or running. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or changes in team personnel could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or media coverage, can influence trader behavior and lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.