TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many field goals each team scores in an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve a specific number of field goals or more during the match. The outcomes depend purely on the game's statistical performance.
These markets resolve based on the total number of field goals made by each team in the New York G vs Houston Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of field goals for either New York G or Houston—ranging from 1 to 4 or more. If the named team achieves at least the specified number of field goals, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are handled by monitoring whether the game starts within 48 hours of its original time: if so, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professionals, while this market is driven by individual predictions. While sportsbooks may initially focus on statistical analysis and team performance, this market can incorporate a wider range of factors, including news, injuries, and even public sentiment. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available, and the event draws closer. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information and insights.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of field goals scored by both the New York and Houston teams during the game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New York or Houston teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence the number of field goal attempts. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could affect trader sentiment and lead to price adjustments. Monitoring these factors is crucial for informed trading.