TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether a specific quarterback accumulates various thresholds of rushing yards in an upcoming football game. The outcomes depend entirely on the player's performance during the contest, reflecting both their role in the offense and game dynamics.
All markets resolve based on whether C.J. Stroud achieves specified rushing yard thresholds in the designated game. Each threshold—ranging from 10 to 50+ yards—has its own Yes/No outcome. If Stroud is active but does not take a snap, markets settle at the pre-game fair market price. Once he takes any snap, regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty, the market resolves according to the actual rushing yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all threshold markets, ensuring consistency in evaluation for each yardage benchmark.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the diverse perspectives of traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see this market move in response to news, injuries, or shifts in public opinion, potentially leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, those offered by sportsbooks. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe a certain outcome is likely, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of participants. The current price indicates the probability that the total rushing yards will fall within the range represented by that contract.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals from the New York G versus Houston game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, and will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final settlement price and receive their payouts shortly after the game concludes and the official data is available.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or snow is predicted, could also affect the rushing game and influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced during the week leading up to the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or team strategies could lead to significant price fluctuations.