TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game. The outcome depends on whether individual players meet or exceed predetermined reception thresholds during the match. The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026, between the New York Giants and Houston Texans.
All contracts in this event are designated as protected, meaning they follow specific participation and settlement rules. A contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's kickoff if the player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the first half concludes, unless the player meets the required reception threshold, in which case the contract settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in at least one play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event includes overtime statistics. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official NFL statistics for receptions in the game between New York G and Houston will be used to determine the winning outcome. The final reception totals for each player will be verified against official sources to determine which contracts settle in the money. Traders will then receive payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected developments in practice reports, or even pre-game interviews revealing playing time intentions, could also move the market. Furthermore, large trades or significant betting activity from informed traders can create momentum and influence prices. Monitoring these signals closely could provide insights into potential market movements before Oct 25, 2026.