TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the receiving yard performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between New York and Houston. Each market focuses on a different player, allowing participants to speculate on how many receiving yards that individual will accumulate during the match. Payouts are directly tied to the actual yardage recorded by the designated player.
These markets function as scalar contracts where Yes positions pay out based on the number of receiving yards a specified player records during the New York Giants vs. Houston Texans game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each Yes contract earns $0.0025 per receiving yard, with payouts capped at $1.00 and limited to a maximum of 400 yards. The No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring the total payout for any position always equals $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, meaning a larger investment in Yes or No will scale the payout accordingly. For instance, if a player records 80 receiving yards, the Yes payout would be $0.20 and the No payout $0.80; at 200 yards, both sides would pay $0.50. If the player records zero yards, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. All markets operate independently, with each resolving based solely on the performance of its designated player.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by participants directly forecasting the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially as game day approaches and more details become available.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yard statistics for the New York G versus Houston game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yard totals for each player will be used to determine which contracts settle positively. The market will determine which receiving yard ladder outcomes are achieved based on the official game statistics, and those contracts will pay out to their holders.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in quarterback play, or adjustments to defensive strategies could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Weather conditions on game day, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also affect passing game performance and, consequently, receiving yard totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or in-game adjustments could also lead to substantial price movements in this market.