TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between New York G and Houston, focusing on how many receiving yards each player accumulates. Payouts for 'Yes' contracts increase progressively with higher yardage thresholds, while 'No' contracts adjust inversely to maintain a total contract value of $1.00.
Contracts in this event resolve based on the official receiving yards accumulated by designated players during the New York G vs Houston Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each 'Yes' contract pays out according to a tiered schedule tied to every 10 receiving yards achieved by the respective player, with payouts ranging from $0.0000 for 0–9 yards up to $1.0000 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula is calculated as floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y equals min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))) and s represents the official receiving yards. Each 'No' contract pays $1.00 minus the corresponding 'Yes' payout, ensuring the combined value of both positions remains $1.00. Negative receiving yard totals result in a $0.00 payout for 'Yes' contracts. The maximum payout for any 'Yes' contract is capped at $1.00. All markets are scalar and resolve to 'Yes' following the yardage-based calculations.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Therefore, you might observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Kalshi and those offered by traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges and the event draws closer. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to relevant news and data than sportsbook odds.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage totals for the players involved in the New York G vs Houston game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Traders will be able to see the final results on Kalshi after the game concludes and the official data is released. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or quarterbacks on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable conditions for passing, could also shift the market. Additionally, updates on player matchups and defensive strategies could lead to adjustments in traders' expectations. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sources could cause volatility in this market up until Oct 25, 2026.