TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of a specific player in an upcoming football game, focusing on how many receiving yards he accumulates during the match. The outcomes depend entirely on the player's statistical production, making it a straightforward test of his effectiveness in that particular contest.
All markets resolve based on whether Nico Collins achieves a specified receiving yardage threshold in the New York Giants vs Houston Texans game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If Collins is active for the game but does not take a snap, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once Collins takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by penalty — all markets resolve strictly according to the actual receiving yards he records during the game. Each individual market has a unique yardage threshold (ranging from 30+ to 150+), and resolution is binary: 'Yes' if the threshold is met or exceeded, 'No' otherwise. The markets are independent of league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. As a result, you may observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Polls and analysts' forecasts can also differ, as they represent individual opinions rather than a continuously updated, aggregated forecast like we see here.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe a particular yardage outcome is likely, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of all participants. The current price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the New York G vs Houston game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual receiving yards fall within the range predicted by each contract. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions after the official results are available.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact prices. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also play a role. Furthermore, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the market as traders react to the latest information.