TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players from both teams achieve a rushing distance above a set threshold during a football game. Each player's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on their longest single rush. The outcome depends on whether any of these designated players exceed their respective yardage benchmarks.
The event determines if any of the specified players—Woody Marks, C.J. Stroud, J.J. McCarthy, Cam Skattebo, or Tyrone Tracy Jr.—records a longest rush exceeding their individual yardage thresholds in the New York Giants versus Houston Texans game scheduled for October 25, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap, regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty, the market resolves based on the longest rush recorded during the game. All markets operate independently, with each player’s performance evaluated separately against their specific threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a player is more likely to have the longest rush than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that player will decrease on Kalshi, indicating a higher implied probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which player will have the longest rush. As more people buy a contract for a particular player, the price of that contract increases, reflecting a higher probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven entirely by supply and demand from traders on the platform, creating a dynamic and responsive market for predicting the outcome of this NFL game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the result. The official NFL game statistics will be used to verify the longest rush, and the market will settle based on this verified data. It's important to note that the resolution is based on the official NFL record and not on any subjective interpretations or unofficial sources.
Several factors could influence the prices in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. A key player being ruled out due to injury would likely increase the chances of other players, impacting their contract prices. Additionally, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and unexpected changes in the betting lines at sportsbooks could also cause movement. Finally, any significant news or developments related to the teams or players involved could affect how traders assess the likelihood of each player having the longest rush.