TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully connect with receivers. The outcome depends on whether each player meets or exceeds predetermined completion thresholds during the match. Settlement considers player participation and in-game actions, ensuring accurate resolution based on actual performance metrics.
All markets resolve based on whether specified quarterbacks achieve minimum passing completion thresholds in the New York G vs Houston game scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If a quarterback is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of completions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance against the stated benchmarks.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an event occurring, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing completions. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official passing completion statistics for the game between New York G and Houston are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect the actual number of passing completions achieved during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor official sources for the final statistics as they become available to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to affect the passing game, could also shift prices. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also play a role. Finally, even public sentiment and late-breaking analysis from sports commentators could influence trading activity and, consequently, the prices within this market.