TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will have the highest scoring performance in the final quarter of an upcoming football game between New York G and Houston. It specifically evaluates the points scored during regulation time of the fourth quarter, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on which team scores more points in that specific segment of the game.
If Houston wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the New York G vs Houston Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If New York G wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the New York G vs Houston Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the New York G vs Houston Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points, indicating how much volume is available to trade. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 4th quarter will be declared the winner, and that result will determine the payout of contracts on Kalshi. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance during the earlier quarters of the game would also likely cause significant movement. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment. Monitoring pre-game analysis and in-game statistics will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could affect the price of contracts on Kalshi.