TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 3:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either team in a specific quarter of a football game. Bettors can choose from various point spreads to wager on how decisively one team will outperform the other during that quarter. The outcomes hinge solely on performance within the designated timeframe, ignoring overall game results.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the 2nd Quarter of the New York G vs Houston Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point-spread threshold for either team to win by. If Houston wins the quarter by exceeding their respective spread (10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points), that market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if New York G wins the quarter by exceeding their respective spread (2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points), that market resolves to Yes. Only points scored in the 2nd Quarter count toward resolution; performance in any other quarter is irrelevant. No market resolves if the winning team does not meet or exceed their specific threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. This can sometimes lead to better odds for informed bettors compared to what is available at conventional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the expected outcome. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the most likely spread for the second quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second quarter of the New York vs Houston game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The final spread will be the determining factor for payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the New York or Houston teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategy, weather conditions, or even pre-game analysis from respected sports commentators could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected line movements at major sportsbooks could also prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to fluctuations in the price on Kalshi.