TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams in the second half of an upcoming football game. Participants assess how high-scoring the latter portion of the match might be, considering factors like team strategies and player performance.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by New York G and Houston in the second half (including overtime) of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. For any given market, if the total points scored by both teams in the second half surpass the market's threshold, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods that follow it count toward these totals. All markets are independent, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring levels for the same game segment. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of expertise, access to information, or simply differing opinions among participants in this market and those wagering at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the total score in the second half being over or under a certain number. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the 'yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. The market depth indicates the volume available at different price points, revealing potential support and resistance levels.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half of the New York vs Houston game will be used to determine whether the total points exceeded or fell short of the market’s threshold. Resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market. Any adjustments or corrections to the official score will be reflected in the final resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Key player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or significant shifts in team performance could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might also lead to price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi can quickly shift the price, especially if they indicate a strong conviction about the likely outcome of the New York vs Houston second half. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into the evolving probabilities.