TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of a football game between New York G and Houston. Each market corresponds to a different point total benchmark that determines whether the combined score exceeds that value within the first 15 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both New York G and Houston during the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 25, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points, and resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds that specific threshold. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and all markets operate independently — the outcome of one does not affect the others. The markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period, as the market discovers its own consensus view on the New York vs Houston game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible first quarter totals for the New York vs Houston game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for exposure to a specific outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first quarter total for the New York vs Houston game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring that all traders receive the correct payout based on the actual result of the game. The outcome will be determined by the total points scored in the first quarter.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the New York or Houston teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause rapid price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.