TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the combined scoring performance of two teams during the first half of a professional football game. It evaluates whether the total points accumulated by both teams will exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends purely on in-game scoring dynamics within the initial 30 minutes.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the first half of the designated Pro Football game. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. If the combined score exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored in the first half count toward resolution, and all markets operate independently under these consistent parameters.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by supply and demand. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when significant information asymmetry exists. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison when evaluating this market. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions or access to information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the collective assessment of the total points scored in the first half of the New York versus Houston game. Trading volume and order book depth also influence price discovery in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score of the first half of the New York versus Houston game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for resolution. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the first-half total, based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game’s progress leading up to halftime.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either New York or Houston would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in weather conditions that could affect the game’s scoring pace. Unexpected lineup changes or strategic adjustments announced before kickoff could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, any significant public betting patterns observed at sportsbooks might influence traders on Kalshi. Finally, even real-time game events during the first quarter, such as a dominant offensive performance by one team, could lead to shifts in the market’s pricing.