TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 9:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming professional MLS soccer match between New York City and Atlanta. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game will exceed that threshold. The outcomes reflect the collective scoring performance of both teams during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout scenarios.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both New York City and Atlanta in their professional MLS soccer match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals must exceed the specified threshold—0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals—within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout scenarios are explicitly excluded from consideration. All markets share the same underlying event and timing parameters, differing only in the goal-count threshold that determines resolution. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by a sportsbook, it could indicate an opportunity for value, depending on your own assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total number of goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The closer we get to the event, the more the price will likely converge towards the true outcome, though unexpected events can still cause volatility.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the New York City versus Atlanta match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either New York City or Atlanta would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect predictions. Unexpected tactical decisions announced by either team’s coach, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis, can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.