TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 9:42 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between New York City and Atlanta will be decided based on the goal difference after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Outcomes vary depending on the margin of victory for either team, with specific thresholds defined for each possible result.
All four markets resolve based on the outcome of the New York City vs Atlanta professional MLS soccer game scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A market resolves to Yes if New York City wins by more than 2.5 goals, New York City wins by more than 1.5 goals, Atlanta wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Atlanta wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule specifies a different threshold for victory margins, allowing for varied outcomes depending on the size of the winning margin for either team.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply the unique dynamics of a prediction market environment. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread itself is determined by the difference in prices between contracts favoring New York City and those favoring Atlanta. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market that incorporates new information quickly.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authority. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. The market will close prior to the game’s completion to prevent any last-minute influence from the final score. This ensures a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either New York City or Atlanta would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, or even significant public betting patterns observed in sportsbooks could also influence trader behavior. Unexpected announcements about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.